WILDAN SYAFITRI, BEATRICE KNERR
University of Kassel, Department of Development Economics, Migration and Agricultural Policy, Germany
East Java as one of the national granaries has a very significant role to contribute to food security in Indonesia. Agricultural land in East Java is declining along with the increasing use of land for non-agricultural activities. Whereas the land ownership is a most important factor in increasing agricultural production, population growth led to polarisation of agricultural land, and to resulting inefficiencies of agricultural activities. Moreover, the structural transformation from agriculture to manufactures and service sectors entailed migration to urban centres and to abroad. Migration is a balancing process in which surplus labour gradually withdraws from the rural sector to meet the manpower needs in the urban sector. In East Java, it is a strategy for rural households to allocate their labour resources among different areas, to reduce the income risk and to increase total income. However, in the longer term, under the given conditions these strategies may cause a decline in agricultural production resulting from low investment in the farm sector. If this situation continues, food security in East Java will meet serious problems.
Agricultural sector performance may be enhanced by better credit access, as credit availability may increase investment in farm activities or related business in the rural areas. It can lead to higher productivity in the agricultural sector and thus increasing household income.
This study analyses the influence of access to land and credit on migration decisions. A survey among migrants or non migrants for primary data collection was carried out in Malang, East Java, Indonesia. For the data analysis a Probit model was used to investigate the factors that determine the probability of household head's decision to engage in migration depending on land ownership, credit access, indicator for social capital, physical capital and socioeconomic characteristics of households. The results suggest that land ownership and credit access have a negative and significant influence on the decision to migrate to urban areas. The results of the analysis are used to develop some policy recommendations with respect to the land use and credit access and reduction of out-migration from rural areas.
Keywords: Credit acces, food security, land use, migration